Packet M: Bonus 6
A 2024 paper by Schleussner et al. contrasts a “peak and decline” pathway involving this phenomenon with one involving “enhanced protection” that eventually descends back below a desired limit. For 10 points each:
[10h] Name this phenomenon in which temperatures will exceed the 1.5-degree global warming goal set in the 2015 Paris Agreement.
ANSWER: overshoot [or climate overshoot]
[10m] Failing to meet a peak and decline pathway will result in “continued long-term warming” due to one of these processes. These general processes include ones named for Jacob Bjerknes (“BYURK-niss”).
ANSWER: feedbacks [or feedback mechanisms; or feedback loops; or Earth-system feedbacks; or positive feedback loops; accept climate change feedbacks or ice–albedo feedback or Bjerknes feedback]
[10e] The paper models climate outcomes in the “long-term state” and a warming phase that is called “pre-” this goal. This goal involves removing one ton of greenhouse gases for every ton emitted.
ANSWER: net-zero [or net-zero carbon emissions; accept climate neutrality]
<Johns Hopkins, Other Science> | Packet-M_Cambridge-A_Illinois-A_Johns-Hopkins_Michigan-B_Northwestern-A_Notre-Dame-B_Toronto-B
| Heard | PPB | E % | M % | H % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 14.21 | 79% | 58% | 5% |
Conversion
| Team | Opponent | Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Total | Parts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | Texas B | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| Alberta | UW B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Brandeis A | Dartmouth A | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | M |
| Bristol | Sheffield | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Brown A | Harvard B | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| Cambridge B | Cambridge D | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Claremont A | UCSD | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| Columbia C | Vassar A | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Cornell B | George Washington A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Duke | UNC D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Georgia Tech C | Bruin A | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Harvard A | BU | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Illinois B | Illinois C | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Indiana B | Chicago B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| John Jay College | Maryland B | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | M |
| LSE | Imperial B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Liberty A | Liberty B | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| MIT A | Brandeis B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Maryland A | Penn B | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| Missouri | Indiana A | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| Missouri S&T | Chicago A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| NYU A | George Washington B | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | M |
| Oxford A | Warwick B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Oxford C | Southampton A | 10 | 0 | 10 | 20 | HE |
| Penn A | Haverford B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Rutgers A | NYU B | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| South Carolina | Wake Forest | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | M |
| Texas A | TAMU | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Tufts A | UMass Boston | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| UC Berkeley A | UCLA | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| UC Berkeley B | Claremont B | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| UNC C | UNC B | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| UW A | UBC | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Virginia A | Virginia Tech A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| WashU A | Chicago C | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
| WashU B | Chicago D | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | HME |
| William & Mary | Liberty C | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ME |
| Yale A | Haverford A | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | E |
Summary
| Tournament | Edition | Match | Heard | PPB | E % | M % | H % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 3 | 13.33 | 100% | 33% | 0% |
| Lower Mid-Atlantic | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 6 | 8.33 | 50% | 33% | 0% |
| Midwest | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 6 | 15.00 | 83% | 50% | 17% |
| Northeast | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 5 | 16.00 | 80% | 80% | 0% |
| Pacific Northwest | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 2 | 20.00 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| South Central | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 2 | 15.00 | 100% | 50% | 0% |
| Southeast | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 1 | 20.00 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| UK | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 5 | 20.00 | 100% | 80% | 20% |
| Upper Mid-Atlantic | 2025-02-01 | ✓ | 8 | 11.25 | 63% | 50% | 0% |